Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.001058 0.001202 0.001346 0.001501 0.001663 0.001825 0.002000
2026-01-18 0.000839 0.001047 0.001262 0.001499 0.001751 0.002009 0.002292
2026-01-25 0.000623 0.000872 0.001138 0.001440 0.001766 0.002106 0.002484
2026-02-01 0.000472 0.000750 0.001059 0.001417 0.001813 0.002230 0.002700
2026-02-08 0.000363 0.000664 0.001011 0.001422 0.001883 0.002375 0.002933
2026-02-15 0.000279 0.000597 0.000977 0.001438 0.001961 0.002525 0.003168
2026-02-22 0.000215 0.000545 0.000957 0.001464 0.002048 0.002681 0.003407
2026-03-01 0.000147 0.000476 0.000909 0.001454 0.002090 0.002785 0.003587
2026-03-08 0.000083 0.000399 0.000844 0.001420 0.002101 0.002852 0.003723
2026-03-15 0.000048 0.000357 0.000820 0.001432 0.002161 0.002972 0.003915
2026-03-22 0.000018 0.000307 0.000782 0.001423 0.002197 0.003061 0.004072
2026-03-29 0.000004 0.000280 0.000771 0.001447 0.002268 0.003190 0.004271
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000222 0.000723 0.001437 0.002319 0.003316 0.004492
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000169 0.000677 0.001430 0.002372 0.003447 0.004720
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000102 0.000594 0.001368 0.002359 0.003500 0.004861
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000060 0.000541 0.001344 0.002389 0.003602 0.005056
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000035 0.000511 0.001347 0.002451 0.003741 0.005291
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000018 0.000489 0.001362 0.002526 0.003892 0.005541
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000007 0.000477 0.001387 0.002613 0.004058 0.005805
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000442 0.001377 0.002654 0.004168 0.006004
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000395 0.001344 0.002663 0.004239 0.006157
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000377 0.001355 0.002728 0.004374 0.006383
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000348 0.001346 0.002766 0.004477 0.006570